Four days before the elections, Nova TV publishes the final poll of the campaign.
Nova TV concluded with its polls of ten parliamentary constituencies ahead of elections on Sunday. The survey was conducted by Ipsos from 19 August to 4 September. On Wednesday evening, results of polls in the final three constituencies were announced. For comparison, we have also included results in these constituencies of polls conducted in recent days by HRT and RTL.
First Constituency (central and western Zagreb, western part of Zagreb County)
SDP leads with 38.7 percent, followed by HDZ (26.7 percent), MOST (10 percent), Milan Bandić 365 (7.8 percent), Pametno (6.0 percent) and Živi Zid (5.9 percent).
Number of seats in Parliament
Nova TV: SDP 6, HDZ 4, MOST 1, Živi Zid 1, Milan Bandić 1, Pametno 1
HRT poll: SDP 7, HDZ 4, MOST 2, Živi Zid 1
RTL poll: SDP 7, HDZ 4, MOST 2, Živi Zid 1
Second Constituency (eastern Zagreb, eastern part of Zagreb County, Koprivnica-Križevci County, Bjelovar-Bilogora County)
SDP leads with 32.6 percent, followed by HDZ (29.4 percent), Milan Bandić (11.4 percent), MOST (8 percent), Živi Zid (7.1 percent).
Number of seats in Parliament
Nova TV: SDP 5, HDZ 5, MOST 1, Živi Zid 1, Milan Bandić 2
HRT poll: SDP 7, HDZ 5, MOST 1, Živi Zid 1
RTL poll: SDP 6, HDZ 5, MOST 1, Živi Zid 1, Milan Bandić 1
Sixth Constituency (southeastern Zagreb, southeastern Zagreb County, Sisak-Moslavina County)
SDP leads with 33.5 percent, followed by HDZ (29.1 percent), Milan Bandić (10.7 percent), MOST (9.9 percent), Živi Zid (7.8 percent).
Number of seats in Parliament
Nova TV: SDP 6, HDZ 5, MOST 1, Milan Bandić 1, Živi Zid 1
HRT poll: SDP 6, HDZ 5, MOST 2, Milan Bandić 1
RTL poll: SDP 7, HDZ 5, MOST 1, Milan Bandić 1
Totals after all ten constituencies (140 MPs)
Nova TV: SDP 55, HDZ 53, MOST 12, Živi Zid 8, IDS 3, Milan Bandić 7, HDSSB 1, Pametno 1
HRT poll: SDP 61, HDZ 56 MOST 13, Živi Zid 6, IDS 3, Milan Bandić 0, HDSSB 1
RTL poll: SDP 62, HDZ 55, MOST 12, Živi Zid 3, IDS 3, Milan Bandić 3, HDSSB 2
In all three polls, SDP has a slight lead over HDZ, but neither side is anywhere near the majority. In Nova TV’s poll, which is the most current one, both SDP and HDZ have considerably smaller number of seats, which means they would have to form wider coalitions with smaller parties.
HDZ can expect to win three additional MPs elected by Croatian nationals living abroad. National minorities elect eight MPs. The total number of MPs is 151, and it takes 76 MPs to form a majority.
