Politics

FinMin Says GDP Could Grow By 7% This Year

By 2 September 2021
FinMin Says GDP Could Grow By 7% This Year
Slavko Midzor/PIXSELL

ZAGREB, 2 Sept 2021 - The latest macroeconomic trends indicate the upward revision of forecasts of the growth for this year and we now can expect a 7% rise on the year, Finance Minister Zdravko Marić said on Thursday.

He recalled that the government's current forecast is five percent.

Marić said that tax revenue from 1 January to 31 August was 0.7% higher than fin the corresponding period last year while VAT was over four percent more year on year.

YTD profit tax is a little lower as against the same period last year, but that was to be expected given that that is calculated based on the results in 2020. Contributions for pension insurance were 4% higher and that is on track with what we expected, he said.

The only levy that is mildly staggering is for automobiles which he explained by the reduction in some levies and global stagnation in the automobile industry.

As far as budget revenue is concerned, in August alone the value of fiscalised receipts was almost 21% higher than they were in August 2020.

He underscored a key role of the expenditure side for the sustainability of public finances.

Asked by the press about possible inflation in autumn particularly regarding food prices, Marić said that the latest data calls for caution.

According to the latest information from the national statistical office (DZS), inflation in July amounted to 2.8% on the year, the highest rate since April 2013. Consumer prices are fuelled by industrial producer prices which in July rose by 7.9% on the year, the biggest jump since April 2011.

Marić said that inflation was to be expected given monetary concessions on the global level and the amount of money released in the system which resulted in a drop in its price which then impacted inflation pressure.

He added that he isn't sure that the price hike on food and construction material can be entirely attributed to global trends and disruptions in the supply chain.

He warned there are very few prices that can be regulated as they are mostly regulated by the market and that market development and competitiveness are a must.

He recalled that when VAT was reduced on eggs, fresh meat, fish, fruit, and vegetables, tax policies had a limited impact because even after VAT was reduced the price of these products did not decrease significantly.

He mentioned the recurring rise in the debt by hospitals and that payment deadlines are now about 180 days for hospitals, 200 days for pharmacies and that the health insurance fund had transferred about HRK 5.9 billion to settle liabilities.

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